No way to predict the future

This blog is about whether we can predict the future, or whether it is in arbitrary and random. In ancient times, the world must have seemed very unpredictable to our ancestors, because mysterious things such as disasters such as flood and epidemics were happened without warning. Our ancestors were unable to rationalized the situations; no apparent reason. So, most of the natural phenomenas became a pantheon of gods and goddesses with mythical stories. The only hope was to win favour by gifts or actions. This framework was so simple. Our ancestors were knowledgeable about incidents of environment, but they simply delegate reasons to supernatural being. They only analyzed an incident and came up with bunch of decisions. This framework was repeated for all the major incidents which were affected their daily routines.

Latter, this framework was changed while their knowledge of environment was being developed. The new era was emerged with the principles. For instance, Laplace said that if at one time, we knew the positions and speeds of all the particles in the universe, then we could calculate their behavior at any other time, in the past or future. That's mean we can treat that horoscope is one method of prediction although it's principles are hidden behind the ancient gurus. According to Laplace these predictions are repeatable, based on the places of the planets and limited only for our solar system. For example, predictions on similar horoscopes but belongs to different people are not different now, past or even future.

Let's think, astrology is based on strong equations although it is not. In practice, our ability to predict the future is limited by the complexity of the equations and the fact they often have a property called chaos. Despite these practical difficulties, there have been twp developments that shows that Laplace's version of complete prediction of the future can not be realized. The first is the uncertainty principle that Heisenberg formulated. The uncertainty is the position of a particle, times the uncertainty in its speed, is always greater than a quantity called Plank constant, divided by the mass of the particle.

In conclusion, whatever method is formulated to predict the future is not possible because future is uncertain itself.